March 2011

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I can’t give you a surefire formula for success, but I can give you a formula for failure: try to please everybody all the time.

  • Herbert Bayard Swope, editor and journalist; first recipient of the Pulitzer Prize

Everything popular is wrong.

  • Oscar Wilde, The Importance of Being Earnest.

The MassHealth P4P program was implemented in 2008.  The program began with a P4P incentive for pneumonia treatment and a pay-for-reporting incentive for surgical infection prevention.  In 2009, hospitals were eligible for P4P payments for both measures. Nevertheless, the effect of the MassHealth on P4P was practically non-existent. What happened? Today we review an article by Ryan and Blumstein (2011) to find out.
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The 126th edition of the Cavalcade of Risk is up at Colorado Life Insurance Insider.

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An excerpt from Monocle Magazine‘s February Issue, p. 58 in which I am quoted:

Syracuse is a healthcare hub.  A state teaching hospital and a non-profit community hospital, two of the city’s four largest employers, for a stable base of high-paying jobs in hard times.  But  having a hospital as a leading employer can often be a bad sign: the local community is overwhelmed by an ageing population.

The US healthcare overhaul will change the terrain for cities such as Syracuse, which are likely to see their hospitals forced to consolidate, economise or languish under the new rules.  Community hospitals have struggled financially for years, providing a safety net for millions of uninsured patients who could not afford care.  Hospital revenue will increase when more Americans receive insurance coverage from public exchanges from 2014.  The trade-off is that the payment system now rewards hospitals that produce better results at lower costs.

To do more with less, hospitals have to cut their bureaucracies and better coordinate and streamline care.

Even if hospitals manage to trim costs, it will be cold comfort to the local economy.  ”It’s not like a community hospital is going to become the Google of local healthcare,” says healthcare economist Jason Shafrin of research firm Acumen.  A solid reputation for good healthcare is a nice perk for a city to have but not a big draw for business.  Cities such as Syracuse have to revive other parts of their economy rather than wait for hospitals to save them.”

Source: The Curse of Care: A local economy too reliant upon the healthcare business. Monocle, February 2010, Issue 40, p. 58.

Health Reform will of course increase Medicaid spending as more people become eligible for this entitlement.  Yet this is not the only reason Medicaid costs will rise due to Health Reform.  From a working paper by Jagadeesh Gokhale.

Once ObamaCare becomes fully effective in 2014, the cost of newly eligible Medicaid enrollees will be almost fully covered by the federal government through 2019, with federal financial support expected to be extended thereafter.  But ObamaCare provides states with zero additional federal financial support for new enrollees among those eligible for Medicaid under the old laws.  That makes increased state Medicaid costs from higher enrollments by ‘old-eligibles’ virtually certain as they enroll into Medicaid to comply with the mandate to purchase health insurance.

One should note, however, that many of these “old eligibles” will be less costly than those who currently take up Medicaid.  If someone is seriously ill and eligible for Medicaid, the chance they do not take it up is low.  For people who are healthy, however, the transaction costs to enroll in Medicaid are likely high.  Further, if these healthy people do become sick, then they can always sign up for Medicaid.  Thus, although the Medicaid cost per beneficiary will likely decrease as healthier people enroll, overall State cost for covering these additional beneficiaries will certainly rise.

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Medicaid P4P

As part of health reform, Medicare is looking to institute value-based purchasing or pay-for-performance programs in a number of settings.   In fact, in my work for Acumen, I have worked on a number of these initiatives (e.g., P4P for physician efficiency profiling, implementing a VBP system in home health).  Medicare, however, isn’t the only public insurance program to implement P4P.  Today, I provide an overview of State Medicaid P4P programs.  Here are some highlights from a report by Kuhmerker and Hartmann (2007).

  • As of July 1, 2006, more than half of all state Medicaid programs were operating one or more pay-for-performance programs. Within the next five years, if all current plans to start new programs are realized, nearly 85 percent of states will be operating Medicaid pay-for-performance programs.
  • Medicaid is not a new entrant to the field of pay-for-performance: almost half of all existing programs are more than five years old. A similar percentage of programs began operations within the past two years. More than 70 percent of planned new programs are expected to start within the next two years.
  • Seventy percent of existing Medicaid pay-for-performance programs operate in managed care or primary care case management (PCCM) environments, focusing on health care for children, adolescents, and women. While planned programs are still focused on managed care and PCCM providers, they appear to be shifting their emphasis to environments in which quality and cost issues related to chronic disease management can be better targeted. Rewarding the provision of primary care continues to be a component in the vast majority of Medicaid pay-for performance programs.
  • Nine Medicaid programs are joining with other payers, employers, consumers, and providers in statewide and regional pay-for-performance and quality improvement efforts.
  • Health information technology (HIT) is a focus of numerous Medicaid pay-for-performance programs. Several Medicaid programs are “paying for participation,” rather than “performance,” in an effort to encourage providers to adopt electronic health records, electronic prescribing, and other technologies.
  • The vast majority of Medicaid directors reported that their priority in operating pay-for-performance programs is to improve quality of care rather than reduce costs.
  • HEDIS and HEDIS-like measures are most popular in Medicaid P4P.
  • In 2000, 55.8 percent of all Medicaid beneficiaries were enrolled in managed care; by December, 2004, this percentage had increased to 61.3 percent. Managed care is the primary P4P setting for Medicaid. Primary care case management (PCCM) is the second most prevalent provider type included in P4P programs.
  • Almost all states use attainment or attainment and improvement scores to assess provider performance.

Of particular interest to an economist, P4P bonus payments are paid through a variety of different mechanisms. Examples include:

  • a maximum pool is established. If the provider performance payments would result in bonuses greater than that amount, the bonuses are prorated. If provider
    performance payments would not use the complete pool, only the amount calculated is distributed;
  • a pool is established and all providers meeting the necessary standard receive a proportional share based on their relative performance. The entire pool is distributed;
  • a bonus amount is established per occurrence. Bonuses are paid out based on the number of occurrences and the dollar amount per occurrence;
  • a bonus equal to a specific percentage of a reimbursement rate is paid when a standard is met;
  • the bonus is an established share of a calculated amount saved as a result of the P4P program (for example, in shared savings situations). The share is usually included in a contract between the state and the provider or vendor;
  • a bonus is calculated, but can only be used to offset any penalties; and
  • in recognition of CMS guidelines in this area, states often include provisions that ensure that no plan can receive more than 105 percent of their capitation rate as a result of any redistribution of, or increase in, funds.

Other incentive schemes include penalties, differential reimbursement rates based on past performance levels, increased probability of receiving an auto-assigned Medicaid beneficiary for good performers, withholds, and grants.  These payments are most frequently made in six-month or three-month intervals. To accommodate billing lags, validation activities, and other calculation-related processes, the time period between the conclusion of the measurement interval and when the incentive is actually received ranges from one quarter to one year. Non-financial incentives include tools, initial bid ranking, and public recognition.

To implement the P4P program, 90% of programs rely on information from providers.  In some states, programs contract with vendors to collect data additional data.  Fifty percent of state Medicaid directors reported that internal Medicaid staff conduct validation of program-related information themselves by sampling the data.  Thirty percent of respondents said that their state hires consultants specifically for data validation purposes.

Does Medicaid P4P work? Most State Medicaid Directors don’t know. Fifty five percent have not conducted formal, either because the P4P program was new or due to limited financial resources.

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Doctors have been giving out sick notes for teachers protesting Wisconsin’s threat to disband their union.  Not only is this wrong, but Dr. Rich of Covert Rationing argues that it isn’t even a form of civil disobedience.  Physicians are often put on a pedestal as the models of professional integrity.  Previous studies, however, have found that doctors are not always so honest.  More from Dr. Rich:

In a survey…published in the April 12, 2000, issue of the Journal of the American Medical Association, 39% of American doctors admitted that they sometimes or very often manipulated reports to their patients’ health plans so their patients might gain coverage for needed medical care. These manipulations included exaggerating the severity of the patients’ condition, changing the billing diagnosis, or reporting symptoms the patient did not have. And 72% admitted using one of these tactics at least once in the past year. More than a quarter said that gaming the system was necessary in order to provide high quality care to their patients, and 15% asserted that it was ethical.

“Another survey, published in the July/August, 2003, issue of Health Affairs, reported that nearly 33% of American doctors admit that they routinely withhold from their patients pertinent information about optimal medical treatments, because they suspect the patients’ health plans won’t cover those treatments.

 

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Which expenses are eligible for you flexible spending account (FSA)?  Find out here.

Some changes for 2011:

“Beginning January 1, 2011, OTC medicines and drugs will no longer be eligible for reimbursement under your health flexible spending account (FSA) unless prescribed by a doctor (or other individual who is legally authorized to issue a prescription) in the state in which the OTC drug expense is purchased…over-the-counter items, such as thermometers, bandages, and first aid kits, are still eligible for reimbursement…”  These changes do not apply to prescription drugs or insulin (including OTC insulin).

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According to a recent Health Affairs paper, health care spending as a share of GDP grew by the largest percentage point increase since the U.S. government has tracked national health expenditure.  Not only did the numerator (health spending) increase–especially for public spending–but the denominator also decreased (i.e., GDP).  The article begins as follows:

National health spending is estimated to have grown 5.7 percent and reached $2.5 trillion in 2009, despite a projected 1.1 percent decline in gross domestic product, up from 4.4 percent in 2008. The result is an expected rise in the health share of GDP of 1.1 percentage points, to 17.3 percent. This projected rate of escalation would represent the largest one-year increase in the health share of GDP since the National Health Expenditure Accounts (NHEA) began tracking health spending in 1960, and it reflects the severity of the recession that began in 2007…

Health spending by public payers ($1.2 trillion) is projected to have grown much faster in 2009 (8.7 percent) than that of private payers (3.0 percent, to $1.3 trillion). A leading driver of the acceleration among public payers, up from 6.5 percent in 2008, is the expected growth in Medicaid enrollment (6.5 percent) and spending (9.9 percent) as a result of rising unemployment related to the recession.

The relatively low growth of private-payer spending in 2009 was influenced by private insurance enrollment that is expected to have declined 1.2 percent. The decline occurred despite a substantial boost from federal subsidies provided by the American Reinvestment and Recovery Act (ARRA) of 2009.”

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