Health Insurance

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One of the provisions in the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (a.k.a ACA, a.k.a. Health Reform, a.k.a. Obamacare) is that it limits the profits of health insurance companies.  The ACA imposes a minimum medical loss ratio (MLR) on all insurers.  The MLR is the amount of money spent on covered person medical care divided by the total revenue received through premiums.  There is some debate of what constitutes ‘medical care’ (e.g., do investments in electronic health records count as medical care?), but insurer profits certainly are non-medical.

The ACA requires health insurers in the individual and small group market to spend 80 percent of their premiums (after subtracting taxes and regulatory fees) on medical costs.  The corresponding figure for large groups is 85 percent.  According to a recent Kaiser tracking poll, 60 percent of the public views the MLR concept favorably, although only 38 percent was aware that the provision is in the ACA.  Insurance brokers may be getting squeezed for insurers to meet this amount.

Even though the MLR is a national law, it may not apply in your state.  Why?  Because many States are petitioning for a waiver.  HHS is currently reviewing applications from six states: Florida, Kansas, Michigan, Texas, Oklahoma and North Carolina.  According to The National Association of State Budget Officers, HHS has granted waivers to seven states: Maine, New Hampshire, Kentucky, Nevada, Iowa, Georgia and Wisconsin. The department has denied them to Delaware and North Dakota.

Why did these States receive waivers?  For a variety of reasons, but one of the reasons is due to the fact that some states have a less competitive medical market.  Maine, for instance, requested a MLR of 65%.  The reason was that State only has two large commercial insurers, Anthem Blue Cross Blue Shield (with 49% of the market) and MEGA Life and Health Insurance Company (with 33% of the market).  A public-private partnership, DirigoChoice, makes up most of the rest of the market.  Three HMO’s have less than 1% of the market combined between them.  To avoid the case where a large insurer would leave the market due to minimum MLR requirements and create a near monopoly, HHS decided to approve Maine’s request.

Notes:

  • Section 2718 of the Public Health Services Act implements the minimum medical loss ratio requirement.

The National Association of State Budget Officers

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Each year, the California Health Care Foundation (CHCF) examines trends in employer health benefits in the state of California.  Last year, I reported on the 2010 CHCF report and now I will examine the 2011 report.

Between 2010 and 2011, some things have remained the same.  Healthcare premiums are far outpacing inflation over the medium run and California premiums remain higher than average. Workers at small California firms have to cover a large share of premiums and receive less generous insurance coverage (i.e., deductibles more than $1000).

High-wage firms (66% vs. 42%), firms with few part-time workers (70% vs. 41%) and firms with at least some unionized staff (84% vs. 61%) are more likely to offer health insurance to their workers.

Growth in California health insurance premiums (9.1%) in 2011 fell below the growth rate of the U.S. overall (9.5%). In 2010, the opposite was true. California health insurance premiums rose by 7.5%, but overall U.S. premium growth rose by only 3.0%.

The stereotype that California is the land of managed care holds true. Whereas the national proportion of covered workers enrolled in an HMO declined from 20% to 17% between 2009 and 2011, in California the proportion of covered workers enrolled in an HMO held steady at 54%. Also, although the U.S. overall has seen significant growth in high-deductible health plans (HDHPs) so that 17% of covered workers are enrolled in these plans, in California, only 6% of workers have enrolled in this plan type.

Is the ACA working? The answer is probably no. “Just 32% of small California firms not currently offering health benefits were aware of the small firm tax credit that is part of the Affordable Care Act.”

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A recent paper by Hai Zhong (2011) finds that health insurance that provides immediate reimbursement for health care services significantly increases the likelihood of patients seeking outpatient treatment in China compared to reimbursement beneficiaries with a delay. China isn’t the only country where insurance companies provide delayed reimbursement. In fact, in France patients pay the full cost of physician visits up front and only later are reimbursed 70 percent of the cost.

Why would the delayed reimbursement make a difference? I can think of three reasons.

  1. Liquidity Constraints.  Some individuals may not be able to afford the payment.  Poor individuals may literally not have the capital to pay for these services up front.  Getting loans from formal institutions (e.g., banks) or informal ones (e.g., friends and family) may be costly either in terms of interest of obligations to family and friends.  Even if an individual is rich, acquiring extra money may be costly (e.g., trip to ATM, ATM fees, interest on credit card).
  2. Probability of Non-Payment.  Although may policies are written where payment is assured, in practice reimbursement rates will not be 100 percent.  For instance, individuals could fail to submit the correct forms for reimbursement, they could move addresses, or the patient could die.  In addition, patients may have some uncertainty surrounding the benefits covered and thus they may not be 100% sure that they will receive reimbursement.  Beneficiaries may not trust their insurance plan; they may assume it is trying to cheat them and thus with some non-zero probability the beneficiary will not get paid.
  3. Reflection of value.  Even if a patient is rich and payment probabilities are 100%, the patient may still be less likely to use the service if they don’t need it if they realize the true cost.  Alternatively, patients who realize a service is valuable may also be more likely to use it.
Source:

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Medicare is a government-run insurance program.  Can policy changes be made to add competition to Medicare, maintain quality and reduce cost?  A book titled Bring Market Prices to Medicare argues that it can through a competitive bidding process. This book makes a number of sensible arguments which I review today.

The main proposal of the book is a competitive bidding process for all Medicare plans. Currently, there is a form of competitive bidding only for Medicare Advantage (MA) managed care plans. The authors also argues for competitive bidding for fee-for-service (FFS) Medicare (i.e., Parts A and B).  There is already a competitive bidding process for Medicare’s prescription drug program (Part D) which has worked well.

One of the main advantages of Medicare FFS is that beneficiaries do not need a referral for any services and are not limited to certain provider networks. However, Medicare beneficiaries do not pay for these added benefits. In addition, even if HMOs are more efficient than Medicare FFS, Medicare FFS beneficiaries still pay the same Part B premiums.

The authors want beneficiaries to face the true price differentials between the lowest cost plans and less efficient plans., regardless if the plan is Medicare FFS or an MA plan. Thus, beneficiaries would be responsible for any premium differences due to choosing a more expensive plan.

Currently, MA plans receive a variant of the average bid in their service area. The authors propose that Medicare would only pay for the lowest cost plan. This proposal would in essence be a transfer from plans and beneficiaries (who would have to pay the cost differential between the plan they choose and the lowest cost plan) to the government. Given the fiscal hole the federal government is facing, this is a good idea.

Authors also propose to eliminate the 25% tax on premiums. According to MedPAC, “Plans that bid below the benchmark also receive payment from Medicare in the form of a “rebate.” The law defines the rebate as 75 percent of the difference between the plan’s actual bid (not standardized) and its case mix-adjusted benchmark. The plan must then return the rebate to its enrollees in the form of supplemental benefits or lower premiums” The rebate structure gives plans a disincentive from lowering their bids since they only recover a share of the cost decreases.

Another issue focuses on regional adjustments. Living in New York is expensive and health care is more expensive in New York than in rural Mississippi. However, should Medicare subsidize New Yorkers because their health care is more expensive. The authors argue no, but poor individuals in high cost areas will be adversely affected by this policy choice.

A major issue is controlling quality. Plans could create low cost plans by providing low-quality care or failing to provide mandated services. Thus, CMS will need to regulate the plans. Plans with quality levels below a specific level would be barred from enrolling individuals or the government could force beneficiaries to pay additional premiums to enroll in these low quality plans. Public reporting of plan quality is also needed.

Strategic bidding is also a problem. Plans could collude to raise the bid price. However, by having Medicare FFS as an option will cap the amount colluding firms could increase prices. Further, a small firm could bid a very low amount and set the market. Medicare could set the benchmark at the lowest cost plan which meets a minimum size requirement.

Source:

Another Review of the Book:

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In short, yes. California is the land of managed care. Kaiser-Permanente–the managed care poster child–owns one third of the market.  Love for managed care is not just in the private market; in 2010, over half of all Medi-Cal and more than one-third of Medicare beneficiaries were enrolled in managed care plans.  Further, California managed care plans even have their own regulator.  Whereas the California Department of Insurance (CDI) regulates non HMOs, the California Department of Managed Health Care (DMHC) regulates HMOs.

A recent report by the California Health Care Foundation investigates managed care in California and provides a high quality overview of the California health insurance market.  Some of their findings include:

  • Five insurance carriers (Kaiser, Anthem Blue Cross, Health Net, Blue Shield, United Healthcare) accounted for three-fourths of the $105 billion health insurance revenues in California in 2010. Revenue growth has been slower for managed care plans in recent years, however.
  • The six largest managed care plans together lost more than 400,000 commercial enrollees. On the other hand, Medi-Cal and Medicare managed care enrollment grew.
  • Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield experienced enrollment decline in 2010, which reversed a previous growth trend.
  • Large majorities of HMO and PPO members rated their plan highly in terms of getting appointments quickly, finding a doctor, and getting the care they need. HMO enrollees more often rated their care highly than those enrolled in PPOs, while PPO participants were more likely to favorably cite their ability to get an appointment quickly.

Source: Katherine Wilson, “California Health Plans and Insurers” California Health Care Foundation, November 2011.

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Last year, I mentioned how ACO requirements will lead to more industry consolidation.  A recent article by the Economist is finding that my prediction is becoming a reality.

“Cigna, an insurer based in Connecticut, said it would pay $3.8 billion for HealthSpring, which offers services and insurance to the elderly. It is the latest deal to extend insurers’ tentacles into new areas of health care.”

State Health Exchanges will come into effect in 2014 and will extend health insurance to more people.  Individuals who cannot afford health insurance will receive subsidies.  The Economist cites a Boston Consulting Group study which estimates that firms’ revenues will more than double by 2019 to $1.2 trillion.  Profits margins, however, may fall due to a new taxes, minimum benefit standards, and more regulation of premiums appears.

What will plans do about it?

Many are diversifying.  They are moving into the Medicaid market where States outsource the health care provision of their enrollees to insurers or Medicare Advantage where the federal government is doing the same.  Insurers like Aetna are investing in health IT companies; UnitedHealth Group’s IT business (OptumInsight) makes up a large share of their revenues.

Industry consolidation can increase care coordination, but also reduces competition.  The effect on premiums and quality remains to be seen.

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Conventional wisdom holds that the U.S. has a free market for health insurance and Europe relies on a state-run, socialist health care system.  The U.S. ‘free market’ for health insurance, however, is in fact strictly regulated.  States exert significant authority over what benefits plans can offer and what premiums they charge.  Consider the following evidence compiled by the GAO regarding the State regulatory environment in 2010.

  • The McCarran-Ferguson Act provides states with the authority to regulate the business of insurance, without interference from federal regulation, unless federal law specifically provides otherwise.
  • Nearly all—48 out of 50—of the state officials who responded to the GAO survey reported that they reviewed rate filings.
  • Insurance departments in 19 states were authorized by their state to approve or disapprove proposed premium rates in all markets before they went into effect—known as prior approval authority
  • Insurance departments in another 10 states were authorized to disapprove rate filings in all markets, but not to approve rate filings before a carrier could begin using the premium rate or rates proposed in the filing. [In 9 of these states, carriers were required to submit rate filings prior to the effective date of the proposed rate—known as file and use authority. In one state, carriers could begin using a new premium rate and then file it with the state—known as use and file authority.]
  • In 6 states, insurance departments were not authorized to approve or disapprove rate filings in any market.
  • In 1 state, carriers were not required to file rates for approval or disapproval each time the carrier proposed to change premium rates.
  • In the remaining 15 states, authority to approve or disapprove rate filings varied by market. For example, a state insurance department may have prior approval authority in the individual market, but have information only authority in the small-group and large group markets subject to their regulation.

With health insurance premiums rising by 20 percent in 2010, the call for even more regulation is growing.

More information on State regulations is provided below:
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There are approximately 265 million individuals in the United States under age 65 in 2009.  Using the 2010 March Current Population Survey (CPS) data, the employee benefits research institute provides the insurance coverage breakdowns.

  • Employer-sponsored group plan: 156.1 million (59.0 percent)
  • Insurance bought directly from insurer on individual market: 16.7 million (6.3 percent)
  • Medicaid: 44.1 million (16.7 percent)
  • Medicare: 7.3 million (2.8 percent)
  • Tricare/CHAMPVA: 8.3 million (3.1 percent)
  • No Health Insurance: 50.0 (18.9 percent)

Employer-based coverage has dropped from 65.9 percent in 2000 to 55.8 percent in 2009 for children and from 69.3 percent to 60.2 percent for adults under 65.  The advent of CHIP has meant that many more children are now covered by Medicaid (33.8 percent today versus 20.9 percent in 2000) and the uninsurance rate has dropped over the last 10 years from 11.3 percent to 10.0 percent. Medicaid enrollment for adults has also increased, from 6.4 percent of adults to 9.9 percent of adults today. Uninsurance rates, however, have also grown for adults: from 17.2 percent in 2000 to 22.4 in 2009.

 

Source:

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The California Healthcare Foundation (CHCF) notes that States face a number of challenges when determining how to design their Health Exchanges mandated by health reform.  Today, I briefly highlight some of the requirements State Exchanges must fulfill.
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Health Insurance premium inflation is back.  According to the Kaiser Family Foundation Employer Health Benefits Survey 2011, health insurance premiums for single individuals was $5,429 for single individuals and $15,073 for a family plan.  Premium growth for single and family plans was below 6 percent per year over the last 5 years (2005-2010). However, between 2010 and 2011, premiums grew 7.5 percent for single plans and 9.5 percent for family plans.

Many economists may think that inflation is a driver, but the overall inflation rate in 2011 was only estimated to be 2.1 percent.

Additional Information from the EHBS is below.

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