Unbiased Analysis of Today's Healthcare Issues

Will Caesareans Become the Default Delivery Option?

Written By: Jason Shafrin - Jan• 10•12

This question may not be as far fetched as it seems.  According to a California Maternal Quality Care Collaborative (CMQCC) White Paper:

Cesarean delivery rates in both California and the United States as a whole rose by 50 percent between 1998 and 2008, climbing from 22 percent to 33 percent of all births in just a decade. This upward trend, which is seen for every type of woman regardless of race/ethnicity, age, weight, or the gestational age of the pregnancy, shows no signs of reversing. The increasing rates are largely the result of two factors: a significant rise in first-birth cesareans done in labor, and a marked decline in vaginal births after a prior cesarean (VBAC).

As any good economist would say, there are two factors affecting the change in Caesarean rates: demand and supply. On the demand side, women are more comfortable having a Caesarean than ever before. When a woman is pregnant, more of their peers will have had a Caesarean and the are thus their fear of this major surgery may decrease. Further and with the tremendous amount of faith most women place in modern medicine and their physicians specifically, Caesareans may seem like a more ‘advanced’ way to give birth.

On the supply side, there is a simple reason why Caesareans have risen: money. Physicians get paid more when they do Caesareans. Further, a vaginal birth takes a long time and involves a lot of watchful waiting and monitoring. The Caesarean procedure–although much more intensive and generally worse for the women–is much faster. According to the CMQCC report, “Many nurses talked about the timing of cesareans done during labor, citing the competing demands on physicians for clinic appointments and their desire for balance between work and the rest of life”Kaiser Permanente, where physicians are paid a salary and beneficiaries receive all services from KP docs, generally have among the lowest Ceasarean rates in the state of California.

Doctors do not find it profitable to supervise vaginal birth. And to be honest, I don’t blame them. A typical vaginal birth without complications may not require much direct supervision of a physician. Substituting more labor (i.e., time spent with the patient) by using a midwife in place of more capital (i.e., human capital that the physician accumulated) is more likely to produce better birth outcomes for the average women. Physicians could be brought in only for complicated cases which require additional expertise and surgical skills.


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